Kitzbühel vs SK St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
44
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FUG
1 - 2
KIT
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 1
KEM
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 0
KUN
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
KIT
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 3
EBB
70%
17%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SK St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 2
FCV
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 1
STJ
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 1
VOL
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IAC
0 - 1
STJ
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 5
STJ
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |