Kitzbühel vs Ebbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 2
KIT
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KIT
5 - 1
VOL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
IAC
1 - 1
KIT
22%
20%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WAT
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
TEL
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
EBB
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 1
STJ
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 3
IAC
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
EBB
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |