Kitzbühel vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
FUG
1 - 1
KIT
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
KIT
1 - 0
MAT
31%
23%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
KIT
3 - 2
SVA
42%
24%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SVK
2 - 3
KIT
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
REI
4 - 0
KIT
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
KIR
1 - 0
VOL
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
REI
4 - 0
KIR
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
KIR
0 - 0
IMS
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
TEL
0 - 2
KIR
41%
23%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AXG
0 - 3
KIR
6%
13%
80%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |