Kitchee FC vs Tuen Mun SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCA
2 - 3
KFC
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 0
KFC
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
KFC
3 - 1
CAA
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 2
KFC
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SON
1 - 0
KFC
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
SCA
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TMS
1 - 1
PFC
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HON
3 - 3
TMS
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 1
TMS
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |