Kitchee FC vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
2º
1º
26
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
KFC
4 - 0
WAR
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KFC
4 - 1
SHA
91%
8%
2%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KFC
3 - 0
EAS
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
KFC
4 - 0
WTP
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HKU
0 - 7
KFC
16%
22%
61%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
HON
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
WTP
1 - 2
HON
37%
22%
41%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HON
2 - 1
HKU
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HON
1 - 2
WAR
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SDI
0 - 0
HON
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |