Kitchee FC vs Eastern SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
1º
27
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
26 | 49 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 46 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 31 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 28 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 19 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
36.5% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
WTP
1 - 2
KFC
43%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 1
KFC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SDI
1 - 1
KFC
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
KFC
40%
22%
38%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KWL
0 - 5
KFC
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 0
WAR
39%
23%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 1
KFC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HON
0 - 2
EAS
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BIU
1 - 3
EAS
17%
19%
65%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
NDT
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |