Uganda Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Kitara vs Pajule Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
KIT
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KIT
0 - 2
VIP
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KIT
2 - 2
VIP
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
KIT
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KIT
0 - 0
BUL
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pajule Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PLF
1 - 0
FCP
26%
21%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PLF
1 - 0
YSS
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PLF
2 - 0
NSC
39%
22%
39%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PLF
0 - 1
UGA
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | -1 |