Kitara vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
5 - 0
KIT
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
KIT
1 - 3
OND
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
VIP
2 - 1
KIT
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
KIT
0 - 5
UGA
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
KIT
1 - 5
UPD
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 1
WAK
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MYD
3 - 3
MCF
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -9 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
MCF
1 - 1
EXP
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
KCC
2 - 0
MCF
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SCV
3 - 0
MCF
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |