Kisvárda II vs Sényő Carnifex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
13º
7º
18
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 55 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 32 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kisvárda II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIO
3 - 0
KMG
35%
24%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KMG
2 - 2
TIS
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 1
KMG
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
KMG
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KMG
1 - 1
DEB
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sényő Carnifex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
DEB
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
SFC
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 3
KAR
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CIG
3 - 0
SFC
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
FUZ
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |