Kirkenes vs Alta IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirkenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 2
SIK
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PIL
0 - 6
KIR
12%
17%
70%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FLO
2 - 1
KIR
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 0
SAL
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
IFS
1 - 3
KIR
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alta IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 0
TRO
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
ALT
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
3 - 2
ALT
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RAU
3 - 3
ALT
65%
18%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 2
FRA
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |