MKE Kırıkkalespor vs Ergene Velimese Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
12º
11º
32
11º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MKE Kırıkkalespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EBE
2 - 1
KIR
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 1
KBS
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 0
KIR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
KAH
0 - 5
KIR
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KIR
3 - 2
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ergene Velimese Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 1
AYV
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EBE
1 - 0
ERG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
KBS
1 - 1
ERG
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ERG
0 - 1
AKS
25%
24%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KAH
0 - 0
ERG
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |