Kirchheim/Teck vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchheim/Teck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 3
KIR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
AST
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
KIR
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
KIR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 1
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 4
VIL
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 4
ILL
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 0
CRA
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 2
ILL
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 2
SPI
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |