Kirchbichl vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
32%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 3
KIR
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KIR
2 - 3
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EBB
0 - 1
KIR
27%
21%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KIR
3 - 2
HAL
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 2
KIR
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
FUG
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
ZIR
1 - 2
WAT
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 2
KIT
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
IMS
1 - 1
WAT
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 1
KUN
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |