Kirchbichl vs Union Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
REU
1 - 1
KIR
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
SVI
1 - 4
KIR
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 2
IMS
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SSV
1 - 3
KIR
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
KIR
1 - 0
REU
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
REU
2 - 1
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
KEM
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
IMS
1 - 3
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
SSV
86%
10%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 4
REU
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |