Kirchbichl vs Mayrhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
50%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
16º
15º
36
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
KIR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
3 - 4
SPG
25%
20%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IAC
4 - 2
KIR
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 2
SCM
66%
18%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EBB
1 - 1
KIR
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mayrhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SVM
4 - 0
KEM
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 0
SVM
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVM
1 - 0
VOL
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 4
SVM
77%
17%
7%
|
17 | 61 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SVM
7 - 1
UNI
23%
19%
58%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |