Kirchbichl vs Schwaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
SVI
3 - 0
KIR
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
KIR
3 - 0
HAL
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
KUN
1 - 1
KIR
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KIR
1 - 1
IMS
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KIR
1 - 4
FUG
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 2
FUG
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 2
SCH
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
5 - 0
KIT
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 4
SCH
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 0
REI
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |