Kirchbichl vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
47.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
16º
15º
43
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SVI
1 - 3
KIR
56%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 2
UNI
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 3
KIR
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KIR
2 - 2
STJ
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 1
KIR
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 2
SCM
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCM
0 - 3
KEM
44%
21%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
6 - 1
SCM
30%
21%
49%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCM
1 - 3
VOL
53%
20%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
SCM
74%
18%
9%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |