Kirchbichl vs Mötz / Silz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ZIR
2 - 3
KIR
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KIR
6 - 1
SVI
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IMS
5 - 1
KIR
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KIR
3 - 1
SSV
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
REU
2 - 0
KIR
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
5 - 3
MOT
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOT
2 - 1
FUG
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SKH
1 - 4
MOT
43%
24%
34%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MOT
3 - 0
VOL
39%
24%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MOT
1 - 2
KIT
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |