Kirchbichl vs Mötz / Silz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
KIR
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KIR
5 - 2
SVI
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
HAL
6 - 2
KIR
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KIR
3 - 3
KUN
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
IMS
0 - 0
KIR
60%
20%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 3
FUG
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAT
4 - 0
MOT
76%
14%
11%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 3
KIT
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 2
MOT
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 1
REI
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |