Kirchbichl vs Matrei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FUG
2 - 2
KIR
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 2
SKH
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
KIR
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
KIR
1 - 2
MOT
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ZIR
2 - 3
KIR
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
REI
4 - 3
MAT
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
KUN
2 - 1
MAT
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAT
4 - 2
KIT
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
FUG
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
5 - 3
MOT
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |