Kirchbichl vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 2
KIR
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KIR
1 - 2
REI
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KIR
7 - 2
KEM
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
KIR
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KIR
9 - 0
SVK
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KIT
2 - 0
FUG
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAT
6 - 1
KIT
63%
19%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
KIT
2 - 0
IMS
39%
26%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
KIT
33%
24%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KIT
2 - 2
REI
26%
24%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |