Kirchanschöring vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
16º
13º
10
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47.5% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchanschöring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
TSV
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DEI
3 - 1
KIR
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 1
KIR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
KOT
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SON
1 - 3
FCP
39%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 0
SON
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
UNT
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
SON
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SON
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |