Kirchanschöring vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
16º
13º
22
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 9% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchanschöring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 1
TSA
17%
24%
60%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
KIR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
DEI
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
KIR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 2
TSV
24%
25%
50%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
ILL
15%
20%
64%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 1
DAC
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
KOT
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCG
2 - 1
KOT
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KOT
6 - 3
TSA
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +4 |