KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DJF
1 - 0
KMC
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
KMC
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 0
KMC
36%
30%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
KMC
1 - 1
BUM
53%
27%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
KMC
3 - 0
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 3
MTI
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
MTI
2 - 0
MBE
34%
30%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 0
TAN
31%
32%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 0
MTI
51%
28%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 2
POL
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |