KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
KMC
1 - 1
LFC
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SUT
0 - 2
KMC
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 1
KMC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
KMC
0 - 2
SIM
17%
26%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
KMC
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
SIM
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 1
YOU
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
MBA
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
MTI
0 - 1
AFC
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
KAG
1 - 3
MTI
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |