KMC vs Mbao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
KMC
1 - 0
JKT
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 0
KMC
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
2 - 1
KMC
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
NAM
2 - 1
KMC
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
KMC
2 - 3
POL
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
YOU
2 - 0
MBA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RUV
2 - 0
MBA
55%
26%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 2
MWA
42%
27%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
MBA
3 - 1
SUT
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 0
MBA
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |