KMC vs KenGold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 1
KMC
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
KMC
1 - 1
COA
53%
25%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
COA
0 - 0
KMC
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 0
KMC
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
KMC
1 - 0
SBS
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
KenGold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SBS
2 - 1
KEN
76%
15%
8%
|
6 | 57 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 3
IFC
15%
22%
64%
|
7 | 59 | 52 | -1 |