KMC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
KMC
2 - 1
MWA
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
TAN
2 - 1
KMC
40%
32%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
KMC
3 - 0
NAM
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MBE
0 - 0
KMC
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
JKT
2 - 0
KMC
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
YOU
3 - 3
KAG
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 1
GFC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2021 |
JKT
1 - 0
KAG
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 2
POL
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
KAG
3 - 1
COA
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |