FA Trophy 1/64
Global 3-7
Kingstonian vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
KIN
0 - 2
BIL
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TOO
3 - 2
KIN
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
KIN
2 - 0
ASH
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 2
KIN
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
MET
3 - 2
KIN
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HEY
1 - 2
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
HEY
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EXE
3 - 1
HEY
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
HEY
2 - 1
TON
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TON
3 - 3
HEY
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |