Kingstonian vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
KIN
2 - 1
CRA
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ROY
1 - 1
KIN
53%
22%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 1
KIN
49%
23%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 6
KIN
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
KIN
1 - 0
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAL
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
HAY
4 - 2
FAR
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 0
BEA
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 0
TIV
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |