Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
5º
4º
3
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
KIN
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 2
KIN
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 2
LAU
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 0
CZF
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ROF
0 - 4
KIN
8%
13%
79%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Launceston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 1
LUS
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ROF
2 - 0
LUS
75%
14%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
CZF
28%
20%
52%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 4
SOU
8%
12%
81%
|
5 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DEV
8 - 0
LUS
84%
11%
6%
|
5 | 43 | 38 | 0 |