Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
5º
4º
31
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CZF
2 - 6
KIN
14%
16%
71%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KIN
8 - 1
ROF
93%
5%
2%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 3
SOU
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
KIN
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
KIN
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
LAU
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 4
GLE
10%
15%
76%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ROF
1 - 1
LAU
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
LAU
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
LAU
15%
17%
68%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |