Kilmarnock vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 0
KIL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
5 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 4
KIL
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 0
TRO
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
KUO
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
KRI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
0 - 1
TRO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |