Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
8º
21
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
86% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 2
KIL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 1
KIL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
KIL
0 - 0
MHE
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
KIL
0 - 1
ROS
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
STM
0 - 1
STJ
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STJ
2 - 1
MHE
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 0
MHE
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GLA
3 - 1
STJ
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 3
DUN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |