Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
11º
33
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 1
KIL
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
KIL
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
KIL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 1
KIL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
MHE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 0
ROS
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 0
STM
31%
29%
41%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 2
STJ
62%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
30%
30%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |