Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Kilmarnock vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
SAC
1 - 0
KIL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
KIL
3 - 0
MHE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
KIL
5 - 3
STJ
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
SAC
1 - 0
KIL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAC
83%
10%
6%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
SAC
3 - 1
SLB
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
SDL
1 - 0
SAC
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
SAC
2 - 1
SDL
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |