Champions League Last 16
Global 3-7
Kilmarnock vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
KIL
5 - 0
MHE
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
ABE
1 - 0
KIL
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
KIL
1 - 2
CLY
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
GRE
1 - 4
KIL
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
KIL
5 - 3
DUN
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
83%
12%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
RMA
0 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
44%
24%
31%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
CCF
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |