Kilmarnock vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 3
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KIL
3 - 0
ROS
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 2
ICT
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 2
KIL
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 0
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 5
QOS
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 3
QOS
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
EDI
0 - 2
QOS
21%
23%
57%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
QOS
1 - 0
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |