Kilmarnock vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
11º
4º
18
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 1
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
GLA
3 - 1
KIL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 2
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
3 - 0
LIV
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 2
ROS
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 4
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
RAI
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 2
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |