Kilmarnock vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
KIL
2 - 0
HIB
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HIB
3 - 0
KIL
56%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 1
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
ABE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
GLA
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 3
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |