Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Kilmarnock vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1967 |
LEE
4 - 2
KIL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1967 |
CEL
2 - 0
KIL
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1967 |
KIL
1 - 1
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
KIL
2 - 0
SAC
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1967 |
LEE
4 - 2
KIL
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1967 |
LEE
1 - 0
SHW
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1967 |
SUN
0 - 2
LEE
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1967 |
MAC
2 - 1
LEE
35%
29%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 2
LEE
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |