Kilmarnock vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
8º
33
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
14% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
86% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCK
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 0
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 0
KIL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
HIB
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 0
HIB
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HIB
4 - 0
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |