Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FAL
1 - 1
KIL
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
KIL
2 - 2
ICT
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
HIB
4 - 1
KIL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
HAM
2 - 0
KIL
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
KIL
0 - 0
STM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 3
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
HOM
4 - 2
FAL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
STM
1 - 3
HOM
27%
30%
43%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
HOM
4 - 1
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ICT
2 - 1
HOM
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |