Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 2
HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CEL
5 - 1
KIL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
63%
21%
15%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ABE
2 - 2
KIL
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |