Kilmarnock vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
MHE
0 - 2
KIL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
KIL
1 - 2
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
KIL
0 - 2
ABE
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
HAM
3 - 0
MHE
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
STJ
0 - 0
HAM
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HAM
0 - 3
CEL
7%
15%
78%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
HAM
0 - 2
LIV
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ROS
0 - 2
HAM
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |