Kilmarnock vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 1
KIL
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GLA
2 - 0
KIL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
KIL
0 - 1
MHE
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
KIL
1 - 2
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MHE
3 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
HOM
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
HIB
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FAL
2 - 0
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 4
ICT
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |