Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 2-0
Kilmarnock vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MHE
2 - 2
KIL
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
GLE
0 - 1
KIL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
24%
25%
52%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
HIB
2 - 2
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 1
GLE
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
GLE
0 - 1
KIL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
GLE
3 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2001 |
CLI
2 - 1
GLE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |