Kilmarnock vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
KIL
0 - 3
MHE
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
STM
1 - 0
KIL
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
KIL
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
FAL
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
FAL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
FAL
0 - 1
HOM
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
FAL
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
STM
1 - 1
FAL
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 3
GLA
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |