Kilmarnock vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 0
MHE
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 2
KIL
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ICT
3 - 1
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
KIL
4 - 2
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 3
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FAL
0 - 1
ABE
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MHE
3 - 2
FAL
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FAL
4 - 1
HAM
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
FAL
2 - 1
QOS
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
FAL
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |