Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-6
Kilmarnock vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
KIL
1 - 1
MHE
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
0 - 1
KIL
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
KIL
5 - 2
CEL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
1 - 3
KIL
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
KIL
0 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEE
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
44%
23%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
EVE
2 - 3
BBU
67%
18%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
BPO
1 - 1
EVE
32%
24%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
EVE
4 - 2
VIF
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |